基于数据分析的高铁站节假日设施适应性研究
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马彩雯(1964—),女,教授,博士,主要研究方向为交通运输规划及铁路运输与管理。

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U293.2

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(11702049)


Research on the Adaptability of Holiday Facilities at High-Speed Railway Station Based on Data Analysis
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    摘要:

    针对高铁站节假日客流高峰期设施适应性不足的问题,以大连北站为例,通过对大连北站客流数据进行分析,选取“十一”客流高峰期,利用灰色预测模型对 2018—2020 年“十一”第 1 天的进站高峰小时客流量进行预测,找出进站流线中设施的瓶颈点,分析大连北站客流高峰期进站设施的适应性。 分析结果表明:当前主要流线的瓶颈点为售票处 A2、安检处 1 和安检处 2;根据客流预测,至 2020 年,随着客流的增加,进站设施紧张状况将十分突出,售票处的客流压力最大,售票处 B2 的设施能力适应性最差。 针对以上问题,提出了相关的改进措施。

    Abstract:

    Aiming at insufficient facility capability during the peak period of passenger flow at high-speed rail- way stations, based on the analysis of passenger flow data from the peak period of the National Day in Dalian North Railway Station, this paper forecast the peak hour passenger flow on the first day of National Day from 2018 to 2020 by using grey forecast model to identify the bottleneck points of the facilities in the flow line of the entrance and to analyze the adaptability of the facilities in the peak period of the passenger flow in Dalian North Railway Station. The research results show that the bottleneck at the current main streamline is Ticket Office A2, Security Checkpoint 1 and Security Checkpoint 2. Besides, by 2020, with the increase of passenger flow, the tension of the station facilities will be very prominent. The ticket office will face the biggest pressure due to the worst facility capacity adaptability of the Ticket Office B2. Finally, this paper proposed some relevant counter- measures.

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马彩雯,胡畔.基于数据分析的高铁站节假日设施适应性研究[J].华东交通大学学报,2018,35(6):41-47.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-05-26
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