基于灰色关联分析的高铁PPP项目风险评价
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张旭斌(1994—),男,硕士研究生,研究方向为建设项目管理。

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[U-9]

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Risk Assessment of High-Speed Rail PPP Projects Based on Grey Relational Analysis
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    摘要:

    随着 PPP 融资模式在高铁建设应用中越来越广泛,其风险问题也越来越突出。 为对我国高铁 PPP 项目风险进行合理的评价,构建了高铁 PPP 项目的风险综合评价体系,运用层次分析法求出各评价指标的权重,基于灰色关联分析建立了高铁 PPP 项目风险评价模型,通过对灰色关联度排序,找出了影响高铁 PPP 项目的关键风险因素。最后选择济青高铁项目进行评价模型应用,应用结果表明该模型具有一定的合理性和有效性。

    Abstract:

    With the increasing application of PPP financing mode in high-speed rail construction, the risk prob- lem is becoming more and more prominent. In order to evaluate the risk of high-speed railway PPP project rea- sonably in China, a comprehensive risk evaluation system of high-speed railway PPP project was established in this study. The weight of each evaluation index was calculated with AHP, and the risk evaluation model of high- speed railway PPP project was set up based on grey correlational analysis. The key risk factors were determined by the grey correlation degree ranking. Finally, the evaluation model was applied in Jinan-Qinghai high-speed railway project. The application results show that the model is reasonable and effective.

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张旭斌,董莪.基于灰色关联分析的高铁PPP项目风险评价[J].华东交通大学学报,2019,36(1):117-124.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-05-31
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