考虑非机动车影响的公交车进站决策模型研究
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苏灿航(1998—),男,硕士研究生,研究方向为道路交通安全工程。E-mail:578119127@qq.com。

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U491.1+7

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国家自然科学基金项目(51608123)


Research on the Decision Model of Bus Arrival Considering the Influence of Non-Motorized Vehicles
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    摘要:

    为了研究直线式公交站点及上游区域内公交车与非机动车的冲突关系,选取福州市区两个典型的直线式公交站点,利用无人机获取公交车辆进站和非机动车的行驶轨迹,提取公交车换道点的实际位置。 将完全信息静态非合作博弈与元胞自动机仿真模型相结合,探求冲突双方的纳什均衡值,并改进元胞自动机换道规则,提出了一种基于完全信息静态非合作博弈的改进型元胞自动机模型,用于模拟公交车占用非机动车道停靠情况下交通流运行状态。 以换道点空间分布比例作为校验指标,校验结果表明,仿真值与实际值的误差均低于 8%,说明改进型元胞自动机仿真模型能较好反映交通流实际运行情况;并以公交车近距离换道概率为指标,仿真结果表明,公交车近距离换道概率与非机动车交通量正相关。

    Abstract:

    In order to study the conflict relationship between buses and non -motorized vehicles in linear bus stops and the upstream area, two typical linear bus stops in downtown Fuzhou were selected, and drones were used to obtain the trajectory of buses entering the station and non-motor vehicles and extract the actual location of the bus lane change point. Combining the full-information static non-cooperative game with the cellular automata simulation model, exploring the Nash equilibrium value of the conflicting parties, and improving the cellular automata’s lane changing rules, the paper proposes an improved element based on the full -information static non -cooperative game The cellular automata model was used to simulate the traffic flow operation state when the bus occupied the non-motorized lane and stops. Taking the spatial distribution ratio of lane changing points as the verification index, the verification results show that the error between the simulation value and the actual value is less than 8%. It shows that the improved cellular automata simulation model can better reflect the actual operation of traffic flow. Taking the probability of a short-distance bus lane change as an indicator, the simulation results show that the probability of a short-distance bus lane changing is positively correlated with the traffic volume of non-motor vehicles.

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苏灿航,高圣涵,郭建钢,廖飞宇.考虑非机动车影响的公交车进站决策模型研究[J].华东交通大学学报,2022,39(1):82-88.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-11
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