城市旅游经济的高铁效应及其机理研究
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华东交通大学交通运输工程学院,江西 南昌 330013

作者简介:

徐玉萍(1973—),女,教授,硕士生导师,研究方向为轨道交通运输。E-mail:1423907384@qq.com。

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中图分类号:

U293

基金项目:

2021年江西省社会科学规划项目(22YJ17)


Study on the Effect and Mechanism of High-Speed Rail in Urban Tourism Economy
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Affiliation:

School of Transportation Engineering, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang 330013 , China

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    摘要:

    研究沪昆高铁2007—2019年对沿线城市旅游经济的影响及其作用机制。首先,采用多期双重差分法,评估了高铁开通对沿线城市旅游经济发展的促进效应;其次,通过动态效应模型,探讨了高铁建设产生的长期经济效应,结果显示该效应持续存在;最后,通过中介效应模型和Bootstrap检验分析了高铁的作用机制,发现旅游科技创新在高铁推动旅游经济中的中介效应占比最高,优于旅游产业结构和交通通达度。结果表明,高铁开通对沿线城市的旅游经济影响正向且持久,随着建设周期的推移,旅游科技创新逐渐成为实现高质量旅游经济发展的关键途径。

    Abstract:

    This paper studies the impact of Shanghai—Kunming high-speed railway on the tourism economy of cities along the line from 2007 to 2019 and its mechanism. Firstly, a multi-period double-difference method was used to assess the promotion effect of the opening of high-speed rail on the tourism economic development of cities along the route. Secondly, through the dynamic effect model, the long-term economic effect of high-speed rail construction is discussed, and the results show that the effect persists. Finally, the intermediary effect model and Bootstrap test were used to analyze the mechanism of high-speed rail, and it was found that tourism scientific and technological innovation had the highest proportion of intermediary effect in promoting tourism economy by high-speed rail, which was superior to tourism industry structure and traffic development. The overall results show that the opening of high-speed rail has a positive and lasting impact on the tourism economy of the cities along the line. With the passage of the construction cycle, tourism scientific and technological innovation has gradually become a key way to achieving high-quality tourism economic development.

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引用本文

徐玉萍,董晓梅,王宗宇.城市旅游经济的高铁效应及其机理研究[J].华东交通大学学报,2025,42(1):61-72.
Xu Yuping, Dong Xiaomei, Wang Zongyu. Study on the Effect and Mechanism of High-Speed Rail in Urban Tourism Economy[J]. JOURNAL OF EAST CHINA JIAOTONG UNIVERSTTY,2025,42(1):61-72

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-09
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-24
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